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Orioles vs. Blue Jays picks and odds: Count on Toronto grabbing an early lead

The Toronto Blue Jays’ schedule stays comfortable on Monday because the workforce returns house to start a sequence in opposition to the Baltimore Orioles.

The pregame narrative: Toronto turns to Alek Manoah within the sequence opener, whereas struggling rookie Kyle Bradish will take the ball for Baltimore.

Listed here are our Orioles vs. Blue Jays picks for June 13.

Orioles vs. Blue Jays picks overview

  • Blue Jays -1.5, first 5 innings (+102)
  • Underneath 8.5 runs (-107)
  • Blue Jays -2.5 (+117)

Orioles vs. Blue Jays picks

Greatest wager: Blue Jays -1.5, first 5 innings (+102)

Grabbing an early multi-run lead is rarely simple, however the beginning pitching mismatch places the Blue Jays in an exceedingly good place to take action.

Manoah has been a buzzsaw for the Blue Jays this season, giving his workforce no less than 5 innings with two or fewer earned runs allowed in 10 of his 11 begins — leading to a glowing 1.81 ERA. Bradish, then again, has a 6.45 ERA to his identify, thanks largely to his difficulties with exhausting contact.

The best-hander has allowed no less than one house run in every of his eight begins. Whereas he does miss bats at a strong fee, he struggles to forestall opponents from squaring up the ball and offers out loads of free passes.

As an added wrinkle, Bradish has had colossal struggles in opposition to right-handed hitters, permitting them to slash .358/.442/.716 in opposition to him. Whereas that quantity comes from a small pattern (95 batters confronted), it could possibly’t be dangerous information for a Blue Jays lineup constructed on right-handed energy.

The Orioles’ right-handed hitters received’t be so fortunate, as righties have hit .128/.159/.216 in opposition to Manoah. Whereas Baltimore has 4 starters who will bat from the left facet on Monday (Cedric Mullins II, Anthony Santander, Adley Rutschman and Rougned Odor), they’ve mixed for a tame .230/.305/.393 line this 12 months — and solely Santander has been an above-average hitter by wRC+.

If Manoah shuts down the right-handed bats as typical, Baltimore most likely doesn’t have sufficient left-handed punch to harm him.

Key stat: The Blue Jays have led by two or extra runs after 5 innings in eight of their final 12 video games.

Learn extra: wager on the Blue Jays

Fast picks

Underneath 8.5 runs (-107): In Manoah begins this season, the below has hit at a ridiculous clip, going 9-2-0. The sophomore is a run-suppression machine, and will be capable to hold the Orioles to a modest complete. That makes the first threat right here a Blue Jays offensive explosion. One factor that ought to stop that’s an underrated Baltimore bullpen that ranks seventh within the majors in ERA (3.19) and fifth in fWAR (2.5).

Blue Jays -2.5 (+117): A conventional -1.5 run line yields -137 odds as a result of Toronto are such robust favourites, however we’re comfy bumping that up a notch on this smash spot for the Blue Jays. Toronto’s beginning pitching and lineup high quality benefit on this matchup is profound, and the workforce’s tendency to win completely one-run video games has gone out the window. The final seven Blue Jays wins have come by three runs or extra, and that pattern ought to proceed right here.

Odds as of 9:07 a.m. on 06/13/2022

NA

Nick Ashbourne writes about sports activities betting for NorthStar Bets. NorthStar Bets is owned by NordStar Capital, which additionally owns Torstar, the Star’s guardian firm. Observe him on Twitter: @NickAshbourne

Disclaimer This content material was produced as a part of a partnership and subsequently it could not meet the requirements of neutral or unbiased journalism.



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