Blue Jays vs. Brewers prop picks: Bet on Vladdy to do some damage
A Toronto Blue Jays offence that’s been producing at an elite fee for over a month has a chance to excel on Sunday with the Milwaukee Brewers trotting out a woeful starter in Chi Chi Gonzalez.
The pregame narrative: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. ought to have a fruitful day on the plate, Matt Chapman retains scoring runs at a exceptional clip and Christian Yelich is an efficient guess to gather a modest knock.
Listed here are our greatest Blue Jays vs. Brewers prop picks.
Blue Jays vs. Brewers prop picks overview
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 bases (-117)
- Matt Chapman over 0.5 runs (+108)
- Chris Yelich over 0.5 singles (-105)
Blue Jays vs. Brewers prop picks
Greatest guess: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. over 1.5 bases
Whereas Alejandro Kirk has dominated the headlines in latest weeks, Guerrero has quietly regained his 2021 kind in June. The primary baseman has a 178 wRC+ this month with eight house runs to his title.
His robust outcomes have been backed by steadily enhancing contact high quality, which is exhibiting up in an xwOBA that’s climbed all the best way to .399 on the season.
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Guerrero has an ideal probability to maintain mashing the ball towards Gonzalez, who he hit a 114.4 mph house run off of their final assembly on June 3. Managing contact is a large situation for the Brewers starter, whose Statcast numbers seemed like this in his final full season:
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Gonzalez’s repertoire is particularly prone to get him in hassle with Vladdy as a result of he depends on four-seamers, sinkers, and sliders when going through right-handed hitters. The 30-year-old throws that trio of choices 91% of the time when he has the platoon benefit, and Guerrero has made robust contact towards every of them this 12 months.
| Pitch | xAVG | xSLG | xwOBA | Exhausting Hit% |
| 4-Seam Fastball | .331 | .625 | .440 | 65.3% |
| Sinker | .299 | .553 | .402 | 55.0% |
| Slider | .301 | .545 | .392 | 50.0% |
As a result of Gonzalez hasn’t lasted greater than 4 innings in a begin this season, Guerrero would possibly solely get a few bites on the apple on this plus matchup — however there’s a superb probability that’s sufficient.
Key stat: Guerrero has slugged .606 in June and cleared this line in 60.9% of his appearances.
Learn extra: Blue Jays vs. Brewers picks
Fast picks
Chapman over 0.5 runs (+108): The Blue Jays third baseman has scored 23 runs in his final 22 video games due to a mix of endurance and energy. He’s already bought 4 hits on this collection, and with an unimposing starter on the mound, we like him to make one thing occur on Sunday.
Yelich over 0.5 singles (-105): At this level in his profession, Yelich has misplaced the overwhelming majority of the facility that made him the 2018 MVP, however he can nonetheless deal with the bat. The outfielder has at the least one single within the slim majority (50.7%) of his 2022 appearances, and he has a superb probability so as to add to that whole towards Jose Berrios — who has allowed left-handed batters to hit .273 off of him this season.
Odds as of 10:08 a.m. on 06/26/2022
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