Cubs vs. Giants Sunday Night baseball picks: Expect a low score with Rodon on the mound
The San Francisco Giants are on the lookout for a much-needed sequence win, as they host the Chicago Cubs in prime time.
The pregame narrative: Following an 0-7 street journey, the Giants are teetering within the NL wild card race. Carlos Rodon is reportedly a possible commerce chip, and tonight may very well be his last begin in a San Francisco uniform.
Take a look at our Sunday Night time Baseball picks for July 31.
Sunday Night time Baseball picks overview
- Cubs beneath 2.5 runs (+120)
- Beneath 7.5 runs (-114)
- Brandon Belt over 1.5 bases (+135)
Sunday Night time Baseball picks
Greatest guess: Cubs beneath 2.5 runs (+120)
We assume Rodon is completely happy to be at residence, and never simply because resort beds might be hit-or-miss generally.
For as spectacular as Rodon has been this season, he’s nonetheless produced some notable residence/street splits that work in his favour inside Oracle Park:
| Scenario | File | ERA | Ok/9 |
| House | 4-1 | 2.05 | 12.9 |
| Highway | 4-5 | 3.88 | 10.6 |
Rodon allowed 5 earned runs in each of his previous two begins, however these got here on the street. He hasn’t allowed greater than two runs in any of his eight residence begins this season.
That sort of development at house is what we prefer to see, and the Cubs’ mediocre offence solely improves our confidence.
Chicago has scored between two and 4 runs in every of its previous six video games, together with the primary three of this sequence in San Fran. Although Oracle Park has performed as a median run-scoring setting this season, per Baseball Savant, it’s usually one of many harder locations to plate runs.
Key stat: The Cubs are twenty fifth in scoring this month, averaging 3.83 runs/sport.
Fast picks
Beneath 7.5 runs (-114): Rodon has been robust on the Cubs in a restricted pattern, holding them to a .195 batting common and .293 slugging proportion in 47 plate appearances. And Cubs starter Adrian Sampson, who’ll see the Giants for the primary time, has strung collectively 4 stable begins.
If not for a futile three-run effort by the Cubs in Saturday’s ninth inning, these groups could be 3-for-3 hitting the beneath on this line within the sequence.
Learn extra: AL Cy Younger odds
Belt over 1.5 bases (+135): All through his prolonged profession, the left-handed Belt has added virtually 100 factors to his OPS when dealing with righties in comparison with dealing with southpaws. This yr, that divide has been a lot higher:
| Scenario | BA | OBP | SLG |
| vs. LHP | .170 | .339 | .255 |
| vs. RHP | .255 | .347 | .438 |
Belt has by no means confronted Sampson, however he’s cleared this line in seven of his previous 17 video games. With the handedness break up on his aspect, we see some worth value tapping into.
Odds as of 11:45 a.m. ET on 07/31/22.
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